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| ".... MAF policy
analyst
Chris Ward,
says the consequences of El Nino were
undervalued.
Ward puts the total cost of the El Nino drought on farm gate
returns at
$500 million over this summer and last. That is about half
a
percent
of gross domestic product (GDP) although the total effect on the
economy
can be multiplied by anything between three (Ward) and twelve
(Federated
Farmers)." Exerpt from the Listener -12 December 1998.
His spurious claim is compounded when the losses sustained by farmers and the national economy for the the period after our communication are calculated. If farmers could not afford drought mitigation in January 1998, then how could they afford the additional losses of $$ several hundred million by December? This inconsistency raises serious doubts about Mr Bailey's integrity and leadership. Farmers seeking to place blame for their economic woes need look no further than the ineptitude of their executive members. The drought was only part of the problem. Could the real reason be that Mr. Bailey and Fed Farmers were afraid that TWM might be successful? Were they concerned that they might become dependent upon Indigenous technology to survive? Were they anxious to avoid the issue of ownership of the weather, and water as a by-product? Whatever it was that Fed Farmers expected to achieve by ignoring the offer, they certainly paid a high price for it. But then, they are not the only organization to display cultural arrogance and insensitivity only to be deliberately frustrated by weather events that were beyond their control. Negative attitudes engender negative consequences. This was TWM's first
major exercise
in prolonging drought. |
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| Addendum:
Mr Bailey was appointed Special Agriculture Trade Envoy for New Zealand in July 1999. Comment: Mr
Bailey was given
the above posting eighteen months after his decision to decline weather
modification which incurred preventable drought costs of several
billion
dollars for the national economy. |
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